Rex McGee wrote:
satriales wrote:
Rex McGee wrote:
Decided to have a bash at these jackpot sit and go tables. Winning is bloody hard but 6 top two places doesn't seem impossible at 6 max tables for a $300 prize.
Busto in my first one though. AK vs AQ all in pre. Q on flop obv.
Assuming everyone at the table was of equal skill (and that my math is correct) then the chance of coming top 2 in 6 consecutive games is 1 in 729. The odds of coming 1st in 6 consecutive games is 1 in 46,656.
Obviously if you can play well then you can expect to reach top 2 more often than that, but I think it's one of those things that sounds much easier to do than it actually is.
Don't think you I already number crunched it? I think the rake increase is small enough to make them viable to play. They are easy to beat and attract more weak players due to the prize. I've had more than 6 top 3 places in a row playing 9 tablers. Someone has to win it and each week they increase the jackpot by 10k.
Also roll £468. Played some MTT and obv ran bad. Money is disappearing at a rate proportional to that at which Nova accumulates it.

I've actually been running very badly cash wise, actually
What hurt more, though, was just going busto in 52nd in a 5$ tourney. Was amongst the chip leaders for ages but lost several key hands - 77 vs A7, AK vs 66, AK vs QQ, AT vs TT (I had broadway on the board, river counterfeited it) and KJ vs AQ (I had trips on the flop, he runner-runnered a 4 card flush).
No matter how well you play, if you lose all those key hands, the coinflips and the ones you're crushing, you can't FT a tourney like that
