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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 9:10 am 
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Atreyu wrote:
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discourages entrepreneurship


Complete and utter bull. Like someone's going to stop being entrepreneurial and successful at £149,000 to spite the taxman.

It's that age old truism - you reduce taxes on the squeezed middle classes, people who will never, ever earn anything close to £150,000 per year (yourself included), and what do they do with the money? Chances are good that they spend it, on necessities or luxury items that they couldn't afford beforehand. You gave that same tax cut to those at the very top, and what happens to it? It sits in an account somewhere. Which is better for a country undergoing a period of severe austerity? Doesn't take much working out. It's mere consolidation of wealth for those who need it the least.

Countries like Sweden, the Netherlands and Denmark do perfectly fine with a 50%+ tax rate for the very highest earners, and I'd be interested to see if they hear this nonsense about bribing the wealthy not to run away and live elsewhere. But wait, this is the UK, and we're all in it together, right?

So, to follow your reasoning: either the rich spend the money, in which case they pay more tax in the form of VAT, or they put in a bank account. If they do the latter the, as Cube notes, that's deposit money that becomes a valuable source of lending for the banks, which in turn oils the wheels of the economy. If the banks don't have money to an end, and no-one can get credit, then we have all the credit-crunch problems we were seeing very acutely a couple of years ago, and everyone (including those squeezed middles) ends up being worse off.

It might also be worth noting that there are many more countries with lower top marginal rates that have economies that appear to be doing better than the UK's, for example Germany (45%), Australia (45%) and Switzerland (11.5%). You may object that other factors besides the top rate explain that correlation - and I would agree that you could well be right, but would also note that the same could be said of your original point about the Swedes, Dutch and Danes.

Surely the thing that you should most be concerned about is maximising the total tax take? That does lead us into a discussion about Laffer curves (apols to Mr Tineash), but however unpalatable it may be to a fine class warrior such as yourself, is it not possible that the maths will tells us that that might be achieved by lowering the top rate?



There wass a really good article about how the 50% tax rate is actually passed the optimal point. It's also the case that maximum tax intake doesn't equal maximum growth. I would suggest quite the opposite.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 9:18 am 
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Tineash wrote:
Slartibartfast wrote:
I just don't think it's a very fair tax. With national insurance as well they spend two thirds of their lives earning for the government than for themselves.

Income taxes should be capped at 49%


Oh, but tax rates for the rich should be raised. They shouldn't be paying low rates, just not most of their money to be taken in tax.


You understand how marginal rates work, yes? You don't pay 75k of 150k because you hit the 50% threshold.


Herp Derp yes I do. Like I said, with national insurance the combined income taxes can rock up to 58% (a figure quoted on question time ages ago but I have no direct source)

I do have a spreadsheet I wrote for my own tax rates (iirc I pay 18% tax all told), but if I get bored and fancy some number crunching I'll add in the higher rates and NI values to find the highest income rates someone might pay.

17.76% to be precise


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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 11:49 am 
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Atreyu wrote:
So, to follow your reasoning: either the rich spend the money, in which case they pay more tax in the form of VAT, or they put in a bank account. If they do the latter the, as Cube notes, that's deposit money that becomes a valuable source of lending for the banks, which in turn oils the wheels of the economy.


I would accept this freely and wholeheartedly except for the fact that, if the past five years have proven anything, it's that certain banks are utterly incapable of operating in such a responsible method that is good for the economy. The fact that the government have had to impose something as ridiculous as lending targets for these national treasures (which, as that one article of many notes, many have missed) goes some way to depict exactly how willing these institutions are to lubricate the proverbial wheel of spending. When the top 10% are making a concerted run on the banks a la Northern Rock 2008, then I might see your reasoning. As it stands, all my experiences of credit crunches have been courtesy of madmen fiddling with imaginary numbers in hedge funds.

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Surely the thing that you should most be concerned about is maximising the total tax take? That does lead us into a discussion about Laffer curves (apols to Mr Tineash), but however unpalatable it may be to a fine class warrior such as yourself, is it not possible that the maths will tells us that that might be achieved by lowering the top rate?


Again, I would accept this were it not for the fact that the only alternatives mentioned so far are peeps and squeaks from isolated Lib Dem voices about mansion taxes that quickly disappear into the ether, and you'll forgive me if I'm somewhat short on faith in seeing such proposals come to light given how well previous efforts to influence policy have gone.

What I reject, resent and utterly refute is this idea that we should, as a society, somehow be bribing the awe-inducingly rich to stay here during the biggest period of austerity endured since World War II, which are the words I assume I'm being accused of placing in people's mouths. But what else is it if the counter-argument is, "If we don't do this, then the absurdly wealthy will emigrate"? Are we that quick to forget that the UK is the world's sixth largest economy? Do we think that little of ourselves? Fine class warrior that I am (a fine career as much as it is a position adopted for arguing on Internet fora) the whole thing is just one gooseberry fool sandwich too many to swallow.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 12:38 pm 
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Slartibartfast wrote:
Tineash wrote:
Slartibartfast wrote:
I just don't think it's a very fair tax. With national insurance as well they spend two thirds of their lives earning for the government than for themselves.

Income taxes should be capped at 49%


Oh, but tax rates for the rich should be raised. They shouldn't be paying low rates, just not most of their money to be taken in tax.


You understand how marginal rates work, yes? You don't pay 75k of 150k because you hit the 50% threshold.


Herp Derp yes I do. Like I said, with national insurance the combined income taxes can rock up to 58% (a figure quoted on question time ages ago but I have no direct source)

I do have a spreadsheet I wrote for my own tax rates (iirc I pay 18% tax all told), but if I get bored and fancy some number crunching I'll add in the higher rates and NI values to find the highest income rates someone might pay.

17.76% to be precise



NI tails off after 42 thousand. You have to be earning almost 1 million in ordinary PAYE salary to pay more than 50% in income tax and NI contributions.


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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 2:08 pm 
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melatonin wrote:
utterly refute

I will come back to this thoughtful and interesting post later on, but am pressed for time just now. At the risk of channelling Eighthours, you don't mean "refute" here. You clearly reject the proposition you were attacking, but I doubt you would claim that you have proven it to be untrue. More anon.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 2:14 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 2:44 pm 
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Last edited by jambot on Tue Nov 06, 2012 11:13 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 2:48 pm 
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Last edited by jambot on Tue Nov 06, 2012 11:13 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 3:18 pm 
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melatonin wrote:
Atreyu wrote:
So, to follow your reasoning: either the rich spend the money, in which case they pay more tax in the form of VAT, or they put in a bank account. If they do the latter the, as Cube notes, that's deposit money that becomes a valuable source of lending for the banks, which in turn oils the wheels of the economy.


I would accept this freely and wholeheartedly except for the fact that, if the past five years have proven anything, it's that certain banks are utterly incapable of operating in such a responsible method that is good for the economy. The fact that the government have had to impose something as ridiculous as lending targets for these national treasures (which, as that one article of many notes, many have missed) goes some way to depict exactly how willing these institutions are to lubricate the proverbial wheel of spending. When the top 10% are making a concerted run on the banks a la Northern Rock 2008, then I might see your reasoning. As it stands, all my experiences of credit crunches have been courtesy of madmen fiddling with imaginary numbers in hedge funds.

Quote:
Surely the thing that you should most be concerned about is maximising the total tax take? That does lead us into a discussion about Laffer curves (apols to Mr Tineash), but however unpalatable it may be to a fine class warrior such as yourself, is it not possible that the maths will tells us that that might be achieved by lowering the top rate?


Again, I would accept this were it not for the fact that the only alternatives mentioned so far are peeps and squeaks from isolated Lib Dem voices about mansion taxes that quickly disappear into the ether, and you'll forgive me if I'm somewhat short on faith in seeing such proposals come to light given how well previous efforts to influence policy have gone.

What I reject, resent and utterly refute is this idea that we should, as a society, somehow be bribing the awe-inducingly rich to stay here during the biggest period of austerity endured since World War II, which are the words I assume I'm being accused of placing in people's mouths. But what else is it if the counter-argument is, "If we don't do this, then the absurdly wealthy will emigrate"? Are we that quick to forget that the UK is the world's sixth largest economy? Do we think that little of ourselves? Fine class warrior that I am (a fine career as much as it is a position adopted for arguing on Internet fora) the whole thing is just one gooseberry fool sandwich too many to swallow.



Lending targets are the most strawberry floating awful moral hazard inducing thing ever devised. At a time when your trying to raise Banks Capital you suggest that they lend out more money then they would like to. Banks want to make money. How do they do that by lending out money, if they're not lending it to small businesses it's because they don't think it's an appropriate safe investment. You're encouraging reckless lending which was the whole cause of the banking crash.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 3:29 pm 
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I think the reasoning is circular though; like lending is only risky because the economy is not growing the economy is not growing because no one is lending money that could fuel growth. Naturally all the banks will want to hang back and wait for the competition to take the risks that get things moving so they can pile in afterwards, but in that case you will end up with a stalemate. Hence government trying to get banks to lend because otherwise it will take an age.


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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 3:36 pm 
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jambot wrote:
melatonin wrote:
The promise of alliteration was too great. I shot for the moon, and I'd do it again in a heartbeat.


I've just stumbled in here and I'm hoping for more of the you vs Atreyu debate. You are a shifty little bugger. There he was debating tax rates (on which subject I'm inclined to agree with him)

*popcorn gif*


Okay, well let me shift right back on over then - is now really the time where the argument can be made for generating less tax revenue from those who can most afford it? Because curves be damned, last time I checked 45% tax will bring in less money than 50%. I remain convinced that it is not, and the idea that this 5% (or whatever it actually ends up being) will reappear elsewhere in the form of economic growth or lending to small businesses doesn't fly for me either, for all those banky-related reasons mentioned above.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 4:47 pm 
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Last edited by jambot on Tue Nov 06, 2012 11:12 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 5:00 pm 
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Melly, what are you thoughts on the argument (regardless of how much revenue it generates for the govenment), that it just isn't fair to have any income tax set at 50% even if the only people who pay it are people more fortunate financially than either one of us, or the vast majority of people in the UK? What right does the goverment have to take away such a big chunk of the fruit of their labour?

In an ideal situation, everyone in Britain would do the Ken Livingstone tax reduction strategy, register themselves as an LTD, and have their employer hire them through the LTD and only pay a much lower corporation tax rate which would also be near enough a flat tax too.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 5:15 pm 
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it just isn't fair to have any income tax set at 50%


Life isn't fair.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 5:18 pm 
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Grumpy David wrote:
Melly, what are you thoughts on the argument (regardless of how much revenue it generates for the govenment), that it just isn't fair to have any income tax set at 50% even if the only people who pay it are people more fortunate financially than either one of us, or the vast majority of people in the UK? What right does the goverment have to take away such a big chunk of the fruit of their labour?


By the same scale of fairness which determines that the labour of a nurse or a teacher working 40 hours a week is somehow worth ten, fifteen, twenty times less than that of a senior civil servant or an investment banker. Unless you want to sit and argue that those jobs are in fact ten, fifteen, twenty times harder to perform, in which case I wish you the best of luck.

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In an ideal situation, everyone in Britain would do the Ken Livingstone tax reduction strategy, register themselves as an LTD, and have their employer hire them through the LTD and only pay a much lower corporation tax rate which would also be near enough a flat tax too.


Presumably your ideal situation also involves the country going flat broke, with the greatest success going to those who can find the most tax loopholes to exploit in the shortest amount of time. Aside from the uber-wealthy who actually step forward and say that, y'know, maybe taxation isn't that bad after all. I like their world better than yours cube, but you probably already knew that.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 5:21 pm 
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Meep wrote:
I think the reasoning is circular though; like lending is only risky because the economy is not growing the economy is not growing because no one is lending money that could fuel growth. Naturally all the banks will want to hang back and wait for the competition to take the risks that get things moving so they can pile in afterwards, but in that case you will end up with a stalemate. Hence government trying to get banks to lend because otherwise it will take an age.


It's not circular, if you lend to people who can't pay it back it's risky no matter the state of the economy.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 5:27 pm 
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jambot wrote:
melatonin wrote:
Okay, well let me shift right back on over then - is now really the time where the argument can be made for generating less tax revenue from those who can most afford it? Because curves be damned, last time I checked 45% tax will bring in less money than 50%. I remain convinced that it is not, and the idea that this 5% (or whatever it actually ends up being) will reappear elsewhere in the form of economic growth or lending to small businesses doesn't fly for me either, for all those banky-related reasons mentioned above.


By 'curves' be damned, you mean evidence be damned? The argument that 45<50 looks mathmatically robust, I grant you. However, the reason for the 'curves' is that there's more to tax-take than maths - top rate tax payers constitute a disproportionately high share of the total tax-take, and this gets more marked the more higher up the money tree you go. But the super rich have options as to where they pay tax, and where they put their money. So the maths only works if all countries agree to play by the same rules. And they don't.


...which is effectively the same 'bribery' problem I brought up earlier. Lowering the tax rate because we can't be bothered (or don't have the resources) to chase after those who cheat the system, or exploit a few convenient loopholes? And presumably the drop from 50% to 45% will bring all this persecuted wealth back into a system that is suddenly deemed to be fair? I don't see it.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 5:36 pm 
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Well....the since the 50% tax rate brought in 40% of what was predicted (says the Guardian), we can assume that a large amount of the income that was going to be taxable is now avoided/evaded/removed from the UK sphere.

Whether it's still in the UK system or gone "offshore" would be harder to work out - but it's fair to say that at least some of it will have been removed from the UK.

There's more the economy than tax/gov spend.

You already have plenty of examples of people moving abroad because of the UK tax's regime (Lewis Hamilton is the name that comes to mind for some reason). The fact of the matter is there is a global economy full of different tax regimes, and 40->50% increases the incentive to try and avoid/evade/etc tax by 25%.


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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sun Mar 18, 2012 11:28 am 
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Firms poised to take advantage of NHS shake-up 'avoid tax on their profits'

Report exposes how four of five biggest health companies that lobbied in favour of health bill can keep taxes to a minimum

Leading private health firms hoping to benefit from the government's controversial NHS reforms have set up corporate structures that allow the avoidance of tax on millions of pounds' worth of profit, it can be revealed.

An investigation into the accounts of five of the biggest corporate names who lobbied in favour of health secretary Andrew Lansley's reforms has found widespread use of tax havens.

The complicated tax structures set up by the firms, or by their parent companies, make use of corporate entities in the British Virgin Islands, Luxembourg, Jersey, Guernsey and the Cayman Islands, according to a report entitled An Unhealthy Business compiled by the website Corporate Watch and revealed today by the Observer.

■ Spire Healthcare, the UK's second largest private healthcare company, made an operating profit of £123m in 2010, but declared a loss of £53m for the same period because of a complicated corporate structure which uses a company based in Luxembourg;

■ Care UK, which operates NHS treatment centres, walk-in centres and mental health services, has a reduced tax bill by taking out loans through the Channel Islands stock exchange and coming to an agreement with HMRC;

■ Circle Health, which became the first private company to take over the management of an NHS hospital, is owned by companies and investment funds registered in the British Virgin Islands, Jersey and the Cayman Islands in an arrangement which allows investors to avoid tax on their shares;

■ Ramsay Health Care, the company with the greatest number of contracts in the NHS to provide services, has used a subsidiary in the Cayman Islands to finance the purchase of a French health company for its Australian parent;

■ General Healthcare Group's 37 hospitals are owned by 37 separate British companies currently registered for tax purposes here, but each of those British firms are in turn owned by firms in the British Virgin Islands, which would mean there could be no stamp duty to be paid by a future buyer of the land and property.

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 Post subject: Re: The Politics Thread
PostPosted: Sun Mar 18, 2012 12:17 pm 
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The Royal College of Physicians has produced their own risk assessment of the health and social care bill. The government has been told by the information commissioner's office to publish their own internal risk assessment, but despite losing a FOI appeal, have so far refused to do so.

Who are the Royal College of Physicians?
Quote:
The Royal College of Physicians of London is a British professional body of doctors of general medicine and its subspecialties. It was founded in 1518 as the College of Physicians and received the royal charter in 1674 from King Henry VIII, the first medical institution in England to become a Royal College.


So, not a bunch of unionised trots.

Here is the report. It's exactly as bad as you're imagining.

Quote:
Risks

A detailed list of potential risks inherent in the Bill, referenced where appropriate, can be found at Appendix A; but these can be summarised into four overarching concerns:

1. Loss of a comprehensive National Health Service

Clause 1 repeals the Secretary of State's legal duty to provide or secure the provision of a comprehensive health service, and replaces it with a duty to “promote” a comprehensive health service. Clause 12 confers on Clinical Commissioning Groups (CCGs) the power to determine what care is necessary to “meet all reasonable requirements” of the population for which they are responsible (with the exception of emergency care which is mandated). As such, it is possible for CCGs to cease to commission services which are currently available through the NHS if they do not consider them to meet a reasonable requirement. Access to such services in the future might be available only through private healthcare.


Quote:
2. Increased costs
The development of more overt market mechanisms, and the greater role for the independent sector in the provision of healthcare is likely to increase the overall cost of providing healthcare. Increased costs will arise from the need for greater regulation of both market mechanisms and the quality of care commissioned and delivered by an increased number of providers and commissioners.

The market environment will increase transaction costs and lead to the loss of economies of scale as large providers could be broken up. Market incentives will lead to supplier induced demand where hospitals perform unnecessary and potentially harmful treatments to generate income.

Management costs will also increase as the new GP groups (CCGs) will need to buy in legal and procurement expertise to support them in fulfilling their new commissioning responsibilities.


Quote:
3. Reduced quality of care
In a competitive market there is no incentive for providers to collaborate to provide integrated pathways of care. Indeed, such collaboration may be seen as anti-competitive and incur substantial financial penalties. Integration is essential to enhancing the quality of care for patients, particularly for those with conditions such as cancer and chronic illnesses who will receive care from a wide range of organisations and sectors.


Quote:

4. Widening Health inequalities
It is likely that the most vulnerable who already suffer the worst health outcomes will be disadvantaged as a result of the enactment of the Bill. Operation of choice in an environment of multiple providers will disadvantage those who are less educated, have reduced access to resources such as the internet, or for other reasons are less able to navigate the healthcare market.

Of particular concern are the risks identified around safeguarding children from abuse and neglect. The loss of designated professionals and weaknesses in information sharing between organisations poses an increased risk to the safety of children


It goes on to describe those risks in greater detail and why the bill might lead to them.

How closely does this match the civil service's own risk assessment? Will we know before the bill becomes law?


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