Shadow wrote:It's a well known fact that you can't cut your way out of recession (I was taught this in A-Level Economics a decade ago),
If it's such a well known fact, how come people continue to debate whether Keynesian economic principals really work, and have done since its inception?
Personally, I think Keynesian principals work best, but I acknowledge there are perfectly valid arguments against it. However, for it to work properly, it requires that certain principles are adhered to. Principles which were disregarded by New Labour, who believed that they had "beaten boom and bust", simply because they'd seen a long boom. They didn't even necessarily have to believe this themselves, but it was this kind of posturing that led to their drift from responsible Keynesianism. Boom periods are when governments accumulate wealth, (one of the key arguments against it, as this withdraws money from the economy, that could be put to better use in the private sector,) through tax revenues on higher incomes, and by decreasing spending as fewer require benefits. Running at a budget surplus allows government coffers to grow fat for the rainy days of a recession, where they can then utilise this extra capital to forcefully stimulate growth.
Labour, on the other hand, under the stewardship of Blair and Brown, then Brown and Darling, continued to operate a budget deficit in considerably good times, and ran up huge levels of debt. Then, when recession hit, globally, financial institutions naturally become wary of lending, especially to governments that already owe them money. The lack of any reserve funds from the good times, forces Britain back to the banks, and whilst our borrowing rates are, in comparison with other nations, pretty reasonable, as the debt continues to grow further, we risk losing those good rates, and reaching a point where spending at all becomes utterly unaffordable.
So yes, whilst it would be nice to be able to instigate lots of 30s America style "New Deal" programs to kickstart the economy, Labour had left us in a position from which we're unable to afford to do so thanks to their arrogance, which it seems, Blair hasn't lost.